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A New Strategy. A New Approach.

This is the final part of a series (Part 1, Part 2, Part 3)

If your portfolio is still sitting on the sidelines in cash as you wait for the right time to enter the market, you may want to consider a new strategy. There is always a headline out there to suggest that the market is about to go down. Here are a few strategies we suggest you consider:

1) Turn off the TV. 95% of what you hear and read about the economy is noise. A recent article on the front page of Yahoo.com reports that actress “Mila Kunis Rotates From Cash to Stocks”. We’re not putting the link there, because that’s the noise we’re talking about.

2) Put a multi-year plan together. Step 1 – Decide what the funds will be used for and when you expect to need them. Step 2 – Determine the amount of risk you need to take in order to reach your goals. If not, there are many strategies that can be used to help you. Maybe you need to save more, or maybe you need a new investment portfolio and investment strategies.

3) Stick to it. It’s important to remain committed to the plan, with periodic tweaks and changes. All to often, we see plans used for only a short period of time before old habits come back.

4) Get a second opinion. It’s important to remember to tap the expertise of a financial advisor when developing your plan. When prospective clients ask us for help, we dig deep to make sure all their investments and assets (including their 401(k), IRA, ROTH IRA, bank accounts) are working well together. We look at a few key areas for each portfolio: proper diversification, fees & expenses, performance, and volatility within the portfolio. Each of these is important and is driven by a client’s personal situation and risk tolerance. Most importantly, we look to see if this portfolio could achieve the client’s financial goal.

Overcoming Volatility in Confidence

Some refer to the past decade as “the lost decade” due to market volatility that seemed to send many investors back to where they started.

It also marked tremendous volatility in confidence, with investors finding it difficult to believe in their investments and in the market itself. As a result, investors faced a new risk – allowing fear to stand in the way of capturing future market gains.

These concerns can vary in degree and change depending on the state of the market. The following stages reflect a common progression of mindset during most economic cycles, while suggesting a way to rebound from volatilities in returns and in confidence.

1. Herding: Confidence builds. Doing what everyone else is doing creates the feeling of safety in numbers.

2. Anchoring: Confidence is high. As investors fixate on a high-water portfolio value, confidence can hinder the ability to rationalize a normal cyclical decline.

3. Information Overload: Confidence is questioned. Investors cannot stop listening to news reports and opinions which, more often than not, feed into doubts and pessimism.

4. Straight Line Projections: Confidence wanes. Investors sometimes forget that most broad markets are cyclical and never go in a single direction forever.

5. Despair: Confidence is shattered. Conclusion that the financial markets, government oversight and the global economy are broken beyond repair.

6. Change of Strategy: Confidence returns. Investors begin to again feel positive about market participation when they are confident their strategy is built from knowledge gained through past downturns and reasonably promises to avoid similar outcomes.

Stages of volatility