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You Can’t Predict the Next Black Swan Event

What’s wrong with this chart?

Give up? The folks that created the chart are trying to predict the next Black Swan – the next significant event that could derail the economy. The problem is, that by definition, black swan events are unpredictable and exceptionally rare. Much of what’s listed here has been dissected and extensively analyzed. They are serious concerns but may already be baked into the current price of the markets. Just look at how the S&P 500 has responded due to the tensions in Russia and Ukraine

Sometimes the biggest risks are the ones that do not appear on anyone’s Black Swan chart!